Conservatives face election disaster at ‘Sea Wall’: poll finds Rishi Sunak’s party has lost 19 POINTS since last election in English and Welsh seaside cities which they have won for decades
Analysis of 108 coastal seats found vote share decreased from 51% in 2019 to 32%
The YouGov poll found that Labor now has a six-point lead on the beach.
The reversal could provide a key indicator for the Tory’s chances at the next election.
Compared to the median seat, Sea Wall contains more older voters and homeowners
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They are facing trouble holding on to the Red Wall of ex-Labour heart seats in the North and Midlands, and the Blue Wall of supposedly secure seats in the South threaten to vote Lib Dem.
And now the conservatives are facing a backlash on another former stronghold: the boardwalk.
A new poll suggests Rishi Sunak’s fractured party has seen his vote hemorrhage into the England and Wales coastal seats they won comfortably in the last election.
A new analysis of 108 seats by the water finds that his vote share has fallen from 51 percent in 2019 to just 32 percent now.
The YouGov poll for the Fabian Society found Labor now lead by six points, having jumped from 29 percent of the vote under Jeremy Corbyn to 38 percent now.
A new poll suggests Rishi Sunak’s fractured party has seen his vote hemorrhage into the England and Wales coastal seats they won comfortably in the last election.
A new analysis of 108 seats by the water finds that his vote share has fallen from 51 percent in 2019 to just 32 percent now.
They were seen as out of touch in many areas, with 55 per cent of 3,333 people surveyed saying Tories did not understand people in their area.
In 2019, Labor won just 24 of the 108 seats tested, with the Conservatives increasing their share of the vote in every election since 2005.
The change could provide a key indicator for the Conservatives’ chances at the next election: Compared to the average for England and Wales, Sea Wall seats contain more older voters, more homeowners and fewer university-educated people.
But they were seen as out of touch in many areas, with 55 per cent of the 3,333 people surveyed saying Tories did not understand people in their area.
In a report for the left-wing Fabian Society, Ben Cooper wrote that Labor should aim for up to 30 Waterfront Wall seats in addition to the 24 they currently hold.
‘To secure a majority in the next election, Labor will have to win votes and seats across the country. The Malecón will be an integral part of this project,’ he said.
“Currently the party is beating the Conservatives in coastal city constituencies, and the Conservatives are seen as out of the loop.
‘But Labor has not yet ‘done the deal’: many in the Sea Wall have yet to be fully convinced by the party.’
Sir Keir Starmer’s party has a 14-point lead among voters under 55 and a seven-point lead among those over 55.
They are also seven points ahead of the most affluent voters, in addition to a 17-point lead among the least affluent. They are also seven points ahead of homeowners.