January 15, 2024, 2:00 am UTC
By
More than 6 in 10 likely Republican caucusgoers (61%) say it doesn’t matter to their support whether former President Donald Trump is convicted of a crime before the general election, according to the latest figures from the new NBC News/National Election Poll. Iowa Des Moines Record.
By comparison, 19% of likely Iowa caucusgoers say a Trump conviction would allow it. further They are likely to back Trump, while 18% say that would make them less likely to support the former president in the general election.
As with the other Iowa poll findings, likely caucusgoers backing former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley (half of whom are independents and crossover Democrats) have very different perceptions of Trump and his challenges. legal than other Republican caucus attendees.
Among Haley’s supporters, 56% say a possible Trump conviction doesn’t matter for their vote choice in November 2024, but 41% say it would make them less likely to back Trump.
By comparison, 70% of DeSantis supporters say they wouldn’t care if Trump were convicted, compared to 26% who say it will make them less likely to support the former president.
And among Trump supporters, 58% say a conviction would not matter, and an additional 35% say a conviction would make them more likely to support their favorite candidate.
The NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of Iowa was conducted Jan. 7-12 among 705 likely Republican caucusgoers, and has an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.